The current relationship, especially if Trump is re-elected later this year, will be in free fall with an unknown destination.
If his tweets are correctly distinguished, his decision seems to be to punish Germany.
“Germany pays billions of dollars in energy bills for Russia every year. We should protect Germany from Russia. What’s going on?” Trump wrote in an article.
“In addition, Germany is very in arrears for charging 2% of NATO fees. Therefore, we are withdrawing some troops from Germany!”
The head of the Foreign Relations Committee of the German Parliament, Norbert Roettgen, replied on Twitter on Wednesday: “Instead of strengthening #NATO, it is weakening the alliance. The US military influence will not increase, but relative to As far as Russia and Russia are concerned, military influence will decrease. Near and the Middle East.”
The governor of Bavaria, Markus Soeder, has multiple bases in the United States. He also criticized Trump: “Unfortunately, this severely undermines German-US relations. No military benefits are seen. It weakens. It’s NATO and the United States itself.”
Therefore, it is no surprise that the Kremlin is happily using European deterrence, spokesperson Dmitry Peskov told CNN: “We never hide [we think] The less American solder on the European continent, the calmer the situation in Europe. “
Trump is the gift of constantly giving gifts to the Kremlin: his unpredictability, although usually painful, has always been their continued motivation to promote the factory for them.
Roosevelt and other leaders of his generation witnessed the worst of times, when great powers clashed under the impetus of a handful of evil and self-destructive men. Assuming that Trump is not completely ignorant, he chose to ignore this obvious fact.
The problem with NATO and other US allies is that nothing seems to stop Trump from getting rid of his impulse. Defense Minister Mark Esper reiterated the president’s words: “Germany is the richest country in Europe. Germany can and should pay more for defense.”
Esper talked about “strategic disarmament” because some troops may be transferred to Poland, while others may enter the small Baltic states. NATO’s perennially optimistic Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg said: “Before today’s announcement, the United States has conducted close consultations with all NATO allies.”
Since the President of the United States took office in January 2017, Stoltenberg has been taking continuous defensive actions to stop Trump’s impulse to disband from NATO. At the last NATO leaders meeting in Luton, UK in December 2019, Stoltenberg announced that Trump had sounded his horn. He squeezed more and more GDP defense spending commitments from alliance members.
He is still working hard to save the day, promising to declare that Trump’s decision “emphasizes the continued U.S. commitment to NATO and European security.”
The reality is that Trump bullied German Chancellor Angela Merkel from the very beginning, not only because Germany’s defense spending accounted for 1.38% of GDP was below the standard, but it also involved BMW exports and overall trade. At the first meeting held at the White House in the spring of 2017, the president almost refused Merkel and refused to shake hands. At the 2018 NATO summit, he accused her of having breakfast. Now this.
Ironically, despite Belgium’s apparent NATO donation deficit, EUCOM’s commander Tom Wolters stated that Trump’s generals are moving the U.S. European Command, EUCOM, from Germany to Brussels, where NATO is located. To “improve EUCOM’s flexibility in action.” It is 0.93%, even lower than Germany.
As Esper has explained in recent weeks, no matter what Trump’s motives are, whether it is recklessness or a strategic hub in Asia, reality can throw allies into chaos and run counter to the long-term interests of the United States. Now, these European countries must defend themselves, not a quick solution, but a major strategic change.
German Defense Minister Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer said that Trump’s withdrawal from Germany was “a pity” and added: “I hope that we can eventually move towards a common European security and defense policies are advancing.”
Trump did not prompt a common European defense agreement to surface overnight, but he compressed the agreement waiting to be reached, which is currently not good for the United States.
As Trump seeks friends to strengthen sanctions on China and Iran, a weaker and more irritable Europe will seek to ensure a relationship that is in line with its national security and trade interests. And these may not always be consistent with the United States.
He also made Russian President Vladimir Putin an offensive strategic enemy, while disabling vital allies in the same battle. This is a dual goal, typically the president of the United States insists on acting by his own rules.
If the Covid-19 pandemic seems to have shrunk his presidency, but cannot teach him that sometimes the convention can indeed solve the problem, then it is almost impossible for him to change the course of 12,000 soldiers.
Perhaps this November will have enough time and persuasive power to elect a new US president to repair the rift that Trump has caused to his national allies. This is no easy task, because Trump’s trust deficit will increase among all those standing next to him.
From this side of the Atlantic, Trump seems to ignore the widely publicized stormy weather and is taking a boat to unknown waters.